Most of AOL's executive lineup is easily eliminated from this guessing game — as easily eliminated, apparently, as AOL staffers are from their jobs. Forget the faceless financial, HR, and legal types, as well as strongman tech chief Ted Cahall, who seems to take glee in cutting a swath through his department.

That leaves two likely candidates: Kevin Conroy, head of products (left), and Bill Wilson, the muscular, ab-proud head of programming (above, to Conroy's right). Wilson, one former AOL insider says, is unlikely to show the kind of loyalty to his troops implied by a protest resignation. Conroy, on the other hand, seems vulnerable as a member of AOL's ancien regime, having joined the company in 2001. Grant and Falco may well be content to see him go, so they can put in one of their own executives. And having built up the programming arm that Wilson now heads, Conroy may be equally sensitive to cuts there as to slashes made to his own department.

But this is only guesswork. I have no confirmation, as yet, on who's out the door — just that one executive vice president is quitting. I hear, though, that AOL's leadership is so touchy about any perceptions of chaos at the company, that they've put the screws on the executive in question not to leak any word of his departure until after the layoffs. Perceptions of chaos at AOL? You don't say. Talk about shutting the barn door after the horses have run.

Heard anything more on who's out the door? Let me know.